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12.4 Problems on Variance, Covariance, Linear Regression

Variance for the earlier expectation scenarios, plus covariance, the correlation coefficient, and the best mean-square linear fit of Y on X.

Applied Probability, 12.4 Problems on Variance, Covariance, Linear Regression

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27 exercises

12.4 Exercise 4

(See Exercise 4 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). In a thunderstorm in a national park there are 127 lightning strikes. Experience shows that the probability of each lightning strike starting a fire is about 0.0083. Determine Var [X]Var \left[X\right].

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12.4 Exercise 5

(See Exercise 5 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). Two coins are flipped twenty times. Let X be the number of matches (both heads or both tails). Determine Var [X]Var \left[X\right].

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12.4 Exercise 6

(See Exercise 6 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). A residential College plans to raise money by selling “chances” on a board. Fifty chances are sold. A player pays $10 to play; he or she wins $30 with probability p=0.2p = 0 . 2. The profit to the College is

X = 50 · 10 - 30 N , where N is the number of winners X = 50 \cdot 10 - 30 N , \text{where} N \text{is} \text{the} \text{number} \text{of} \text{winners}

Determine Var [X]Var \left[X\right].

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12.4 Exercise 7

(See Exercise 7 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). The number of noise pulses arriving on a power circuit in an hour is a random quantity X having Poisson (7) distribution. Determine Var [X]Var \left[X\right].

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12.4 Exercise 8

(See Exercise 24 from "Problems on Distribution and Density Functions", and Exercise 8 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). The total operating time for the units in Exercise 24 from "Problems on Distribution and Density Functions" is a random variable T∼T \sim gamma (20, 0.0002). Determine Var [T]Var \left[T\right].

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12.4 Exercise 9

The class {A,B,C,D,E,F}\left\{A , B , C , D , E , F\right\} is independent, with respective probabilities

0.43, 0.53, 0.46, 0.37, 0.45, 0.39. Let

X = 6 I A + 13 I B - 8 I C , Y = - 3 I D + 4 I E + I F - 7 X = 6 I_{A} + 13 I_{B} - 8 I_{C} , Y = - 3 I_{D} + 4 I_{E} + I_{F} - 7
  1. Use properties of expectation and variance to obtain E[X]E \left[X\right], Var [X]Var \left[X\right], E[Y]E \left[Y\right], and Var [Y]Var \left[Y\right]. Note that it is not necessary to obtain the distributions for X or Y.
  2. Let Z=3Y-2XZ = 3 Y - 2 X.
    Determine E[Z]E \left[Z\right], and Var [Z]Var \left[Z\right].
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12.4 Exercise 12

Suppose the pair {X,Y}\left\{X , Y\right\} is independent, with X∼X \sim gamma (3,0.1) and

Y∼Y \sim Poisson (13). Let Z=2X-5YZ = 2 X - 5 Y. Determine E[Z]E \left[Z\right] and Var [Z]Var \left[Z\right].

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12.4 Exercise 13

The pair {X,Y}\left\{X , Y\right\} is jointly distributed with the following parameters:

E [ X ] = 3 , E [ Y ] = 4 , E [ X Y ] = 15 , E [ X 2 ] = 11 , Var [ Y ] = 5 E \left[X\right] = 3 , E \left[Y\right] = 4 , E \left[X Y\right] = 15 , E \left[X^{2}\right] = 11 , Var \left[Y\right] = 5

Determine Var [3X-2Y]Var \left[3 X - 2 Y\right].

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12.4 Exercise 15

For the Beta (r,s)\left(r , s\right) distribution,

  1. Determine E[Xn]E \left[X^{n}\right], where n is a positive integer.
  2. Use the result of part (a) to determine E[X]E \left[X\right] and Var [X]Var \left[X\right].
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12.4 Exercise 16

The pair {X,Y}\left\{X , Y\right\} has joint distribution. Suppose

E [ X ] = 3 , E [ X 2 ] = 11 , E [ Y ] = 10 , E [ Y 2 ] = 101 , E [ X Y ] = 30 E \left[X\right] = 3 , E \left[X^{2}\right] = 11 , E \left[Y\right] = 10 , E \left[Y^{2}\right] = 101 , E \left[X Y\right] = 30

Determine Var [15X-2Y]Var \left[15 X - 2 Y\right].

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12.4 Exercise 17

The pair {X,Y}\left\{X , Y\right\} has joint distribution. Suppose

E [ X ] = 2 , E [ X 2 ] = 5 , E [ Y ] = 1 , E [ Y 2 ] = 2 , E [ X Y ] = 1 E \left[X\right] = 2 , E \left[X^{2}\right] = 5 , E \left[Y\right] = 1 , E \left[Y^{2}\right] = 2 , E \left[X Y\right] = 1

Determine Var [3X+2Y]Var \left[3 X + 2 Y\right].

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12.4 Exercise 18

The pair {X,Y}\left\{X , Y\right\} is independent, with

E [ X ] = 2 , E [ Y ] = 1 , Var [ X ] = 6 , Var [ Y ] = 4 E \left[X\right] = 2 , E \left[Y\right] = 1 , Var \left[X\right] = 6 , Var \left[Y\right] = 4

Let Z=2X2+XY2-3Y+4.Z = 2 X^{2} + X Y^{2} - 3 Y + 4..
Determine E[Z].E \left[\right. Z ].

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12.4 Exercise 19

(See Exercise 9 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). Random variable X has density function

f X ( t ) = ( 6 / 5 ) t 2 for 0 ≤ t ≤ 1 ( 6 / 5 ) ( 2 - t ) for 1 < t ≤ 2 = I [ 0 , 1 ] ( t ) 6 5 t 2 + I ( 1 , 2 ] ( t ) 6 5 ( 2 - t ) f_{X} \left(t\right) = \left\{\begin{matrix} \left(6 / 5\right) t^{2} & \text{for} 0 \leq t \leq 1 \\ \left(6 / 5\right) \left(2 - t\right) & \text{for} 1 < t \leq 2 \end{matrix}\right = I \left[0 , 1\right] \left(t\right) \frac{6}{5} t^{2} + I_{\left(1 , 2\right]} \left(t\right) \frac{6}{5} \left(2 - t\right)

E[X]=11/10E \left[X\right] = 11 / 10. Determine Var [X]Var \left[X\right].

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12.4 Exercise 23

(See Exercise 10 from "Problems On Random Vectors and Joint Distributions", and Exercise 20 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). fXY(t,u)=1f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = 1 for 0≤t≤10 \leq t \leq 1, 0≤u≤2(1-t)0 \leq u \leq 2 \left(1 - t\right).

E [ X ] = 1 3 , E [ X 2 ] = 1 6 , E [ Y ] = 2 3 E \left[X\right] = \frac{1}{3} , E \left[X^{2}\right] = \frac{1}{6} , E \left[Y\right] = \frac{2}{3}
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12.4 Exercise 24

(See Exercise 13 from "Problems On Random Vectors and Joint Distributions", and Exercise 23 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). fXY(t,u)=18(t+u)f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{1}{8} \left(t + u\right) for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤20 \leq u \leq 2.

E [ X ] = E [ Y ] = 7 6 , E [ X 2 ] = 5 3 E \left[X\right] = E \left[Y\right] = \frac{7}{6} , E \left[X^{2}\right] = \frac{5}{3}
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12.4 Exercise 25

(See Exercise 15 from "Problems On Random Vectors and Joint Distributions", and Exercise 25 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). fXY(t,u)=388(2t+3u2)f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{3}{88} \left(2 t + 3 u^{2}\right) for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤1+t0 \leq u \leq 1 + t.

E [ X ] = 313 220 , E [ Y ] = 1429 880 , E [ X 2 ] = 49 22 E \left[X\right] = \frac{313}{220} , E \left[Y\right] = \frac{1429}{880} , E \left[X^{2}\right] = \frac{49}{22}
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12.4 Exercise 26

(See Exercise 16 from "Problems On Random Vectors and Joint Distributions", and Exercise 26 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). fXY(t,u)=12t2uf_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = 12 t^{2} u on the parallelogram with vertices

( - 1 , 0 ) , ( 0 , 0 ) , ( 1 , 1 ) , ( 0 , 1 ) \left(- 1 , 0\right) , \left(0 , 0\right) , \left(1 , 1\right) , \left(0 , 1\right)
E [ X ] = 2 5 , E [ Y ] = 11 15 , E [ X 2 ] = 2 5 E \left[X\right] = \frac{2}{5} , E \left[Y\right] = \frac{11}{15} , E \left[X^{2}\right] = \frac{2}{5}
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12.4 Exercise 27

(See Exercise 17 from "Problems On Random Vectors and Joint Distributions", and Exercise 27 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). fXY(t,u)=2411tuf_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{24}{11} t u for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤min{1,2-t}0 \leq u \leq \min \left\{1 , 2 - t\right\}.

E [ X ] = 52 55 , E [ Y ] = 32 55 , E [ X 2 ] = 627 605 E \left[X\right] = \frac{52}{55} , E \left[Y\right] = \frac{32}{55} , E \left[X^{2}\right] = \frac{627}{605}
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12.4 Exercise 28

(See Exercise 18 from "Problems On Random Vectors and Joint Distributions", and Exercise 28 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). fXY(t,u)=323(t+2u)f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{3}{23} \left(t + 2 u\right) for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤max{2-t,t}0 \leq u \leq \max \left\{2 - t , t\right\}.

E [ X ] = 53 46 , E [ Y ] = 22 23 , E [ X 2 ] = 9131 5290 E \left[X\right] = \frac{53}{46} , E \left[Y\right] = \frac{22}{23} , E \left[X^{2}\right] = \frac{9131}{5290}
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12.4 Exercise 29

(See Exercise 21 from "Problems On Random Vectors and Joint Distributions", and Exercise 31 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). fXY(t,u)=213(t+2u)f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{2}{13} \left(t + 2 u\right), for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤min{2t,3-t}0 \leq u \leq \min \left\{2 t , 3 - t\right\}.

E [ X ] = 16 13 , E [ Y ] = 11 12 , E [ X 2 ] = 2847 1690 E \left[X\right] = \frac{16}{13} , E \left[Y\right] = \frac{11}{12} , E \left[X^{2}\right] = \frac{2847}{1690}
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12.4 Exercise 30

(See Exercise 22 from "Problems On Random Vectors and Joint Distributions", and Exercise 32 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation"). fXY(t,u)=I[0,1](t)38(t2+2u)+I(1,2](t)914t2u2f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = I_{\left[0 , 1\right]} \left(t\right) \frac{3}{8} \left(t^{2} + 2 u\right) + I_{\left(1 , 2\right]} \left(t\right) \frac{9}{14} t^{2} u^{2}, for 0≤u≤10 \leq u \leq 1.

E [ X ] = 243 224 , E [ Y ] = 11 16 , E [ X 2 ] = 107 70 E \left[X\right] = \frac{243}{224} , E \left[Y\right] = \frac{11}{16} , E \left[X^{2}\right] = \frac{107}{70}
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12.4 Exercise 32

fXY(t,u)=388(2t+3u2)f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{3}{88} \left(2 t + 3 u^{2}\right) for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤1+t0 \leq u \leq 1 + t (see Exercise 25 and Exercise 37 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation").

Z = I [ 0 , 1 ] ( X ) 4 X + I ( 1 , 2 ] ( X ) ( X + Y ) Z = I_{\left[0 , 1\right]} \left(X\right) 4 X + I_{\left(1 , 2\right]} \left(X\right) \left(X + Y\right)
E [ X ] = 313 220 , E [ Z ] = 5649 1760 , E [ Z 2 ] = 4881 440 E \left[X\right] = \frac{313}{220} , E \left[Z\right] = \frac{5649}{1760} , E \left[Z^{2}\right] = \frac{4881}{440}

Determine Var [Z]Var \left[Z\right] and Cov [X,Z]Cov \left[X , Z\right]. Check with discrete approximation.

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12.4 Exercise 33

fXY(t,u)=2411tuf_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{24}{11} t u for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤min{1,2-t}0 \leq u \leq \min \left\{1 , 2 - t\right\} (see Exercise 27 and Exercise 38 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation").

Z = I M ( X , Y ) 1 2 X + I M c ( X , Y ) Y 2 , M = { ( t , u ) : u > t } Z = I_{M} \left(X , Y\right) \frac{1}{2} X + I_{M^{c}} \left(X , Y\right) Y^{2} , M = \left\{\left(t , u\right) : u > t\right\}
E [ X ] = 52 55 , E [ Z ] = 16 55 , E [ Z 2 ] = 39 308 E \left[X\right] = \frac{52}{55} , E \left[Z\right] = \frac{16}{55} , E \left[Z^{2}\right] = \frac{39}{308}

Determine Var [Z]Var \left[Z\right] and Cov [X,Z]Cov \left[X , Z\right]. Check with discrete approximation.

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12.4 Exercise 34

fXY(t,u)=323(t+2u)f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{3}{23} \left(t + 2 u\right) for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤max{2-t,t}0 \leq u \leq \max \left\{2 - t , t\right\} (see Exercise 28 and Exercise 39 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation").

Z = I M ( X , Y ) ( X + Y ) + I M c ( X , Y ) 2 Y , M = { ( t , u ) : max ( t , u ) ≤ 1 } Z = I_{M} \left(X , Y\right) \left(X + Y\right) + I_{M^{c}} \left(X , Y\right) 2 Y , M = \left\{\left(t , u\right) : \max \left(t , u\right) \leq 1\right\}
E [ X ] = 53 46 , E [ Z ] = 175 92 , E [ Z 2 ] = 2063 460 E \left[X\right] = \frac{53}{46} , E \left[Z\right] = \frac{175}{92} , E \left[Z^{2}\right] = \frac{2063}{460}

Determine Var [Z]Var \left[Z\right] and Cov [Z]Cov \left[Z\right]. Check with discrete approximation.

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12.4 Exercise 35

fXY(t,u)=12179(3t2+u)f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{12}{179} \left(3 t^{2} + u\right), for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤min{2,3-t}0 \leq u \leq \min \left\{2 , 3 - t\right\} (see Exercise 29 and Exercise 40 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation").

Z = I M ( X , Y ) ( X + Y ) + I M c ( X , Y ) 2 Y 2 , M = { ( t , u ) : t ≤ 1 , u ≥ 1 } Z = I_{M} \left(X , Y\right) \left(X + Y\right) + I_{M^{c}} \left(X , Y\right) 2 Y^{2} , M = \left\{\left(t , u\right) : t \leq 1 , u \geq 1\right\}
E [ X ] = 2313 1790 , E [ Z ] = 1422 895 , E [ Z 2 ] = 28296 6265 E \left[X\right] = \frac{2313}{1790} , E \left[Z\right] = \frac{1422}{895} , E \left[Z^{2}\right] = \frac{28296}{6265}

Determine Var [Z]Var \left[Z\right] and Cov [X,Z]Cov \left[X , Z\right]. Check with discrete approximation.

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12.4 Exercise 36

fXY(t,u)=12227(3t+2tu)f_{X Y} \left(t , u\right) = \frac{12}{227} \left(3 t + 2 t u\right), for 0≤t≤20 \leq t \leq 2, 0≤u≤min{1+t,2}0 \leq u \leq \min \left\{1 + t , 2\right\} (see Exercise 30 and Exercise 41 from "Problems on Mathematical Expectation").

Z = I M ( X , Y ) X + I M c ( X , Y ) X Y , M = { ( t , u ) : u ≤ min ( 1 , 2 - t ) } Z = I_{M} \left(X , Y\right) X + I_{M^{c}} \left(X , Y\right) X Y , M = \left\{\left(t , u\right) : u \leq \min \left(1 , 2 - t\right)\right\}
E [ X ] = 1567 1135 , E [ Z ] = 5774 3405 , E [ Z 2 ] = 56673 15890 E \left[X\right] = \frac{1567}{1135} , E \left[Z\right] = \frac{5774}{3405} , E \left[Z^{2}\right] = \frac{56673}{15890}

Determine Var [Z]Var \left[Z\right] and Cov [X,Z]Cov \left[X , Z\right]. Check with discrete approximation.

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12.4 Exercise 37

(See the exercise, and Exercises 9 and 10 from "Problems on Functions of Random Variables"). For the pair {X,Y}\left\{X , Y\right\} in the exercise, let

Z = g ( X , Y ) = 3 X 2 + 2 X Y - Y 2 Z = g \left(X , Y\right) = 3 X^{2} + 2 X Y - Y^{2}
W = h ( X , Y ) = X for X + Y ≤ 4 2 Y for X + Y > 4 = I M ( X , Y ) X + I M c ( X , Y ) 2 Y W = h \left(X , Y\right) = \left\{\begin{matrix} X & \text{for} X + Y \leq 4 \\ 2 Y & \text{for} X + Y > 4 \end{matrix}\right = I_{M} \left(X , Y\right) X + I_{M^{c}} \left(X , Y\right) 2 Y

Determine the joint distribution for the pair {Z,W}\left\{Z , W\right\} and determine the regression line of W on Z.

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Adapted from Applied Probability © 2009 Paul E. Pfeiffer. Licensed under CC BY 3.0. Source: Applied Probability. Imported at revision d7a0420.